L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

2026-07-28 23:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 43.85%2.28cote équitable
EV -0.462%
Avantage -0.203%
Kelly -0.364%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%43.89%43.84%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.152.2748.78%46.23%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.15%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.992%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.11%56.16%57.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.711.7561.73%58.76%58.48%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.462%E -0.203%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-27 19:30
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.34%E -0.595%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.78%E -0.793%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 19:30
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.78%E -0.793%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 19:30
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.65%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.74%E -0.992%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-27 18:20
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 20:29
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 21:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 19:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:20
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.97%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 19:44
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.97%E -1.81%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 19:39
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 19:40
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 19:40
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.41%E -2.02%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 19:30
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 20:00
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.29%E -2.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 20:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 19:30
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 19:40
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 19:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 19:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 19:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.54%E -2.67%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.67%E -3.37%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 18:20
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 18:13
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.16%E -2.88%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.74%E -0.992%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 17:55
Bovada2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.60%E -3.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -2.30%E -1.32%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 19:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.86%E -1.65%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 17:55
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.42%E -1.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 17:55
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.98%E -2.33%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 18:10
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.92%E -3.77%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.35%E -4.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 18:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.47%E -5.20%K -13.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 19:39
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -10.11%E -4.93%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -9.04%E -5.58%K -14.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-07-27 17:55
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-07-27 21:35
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%9.9%2026-07-27 19:40