The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 5–9 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 43.69%2.29fair odd
EV +0.476%
Edge +0.207%
Kelly +0.366%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.65%43.69%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.192.202.3047.17%45.57%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 56.31%1.78fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%56.35%56.31%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.16%59.17%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 43.69%; New York Yankees (Visit): 56.31%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.476%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.476%E +0.207%K +0.366%G +0.002%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 18:20
GTbets🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.27%E -0.563%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.01%E -1.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-27 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.71%E -0.759%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.71%E -0.759%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-27 21:55
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.71%E -0.759%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:10
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.15%E -0.958%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.58%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.45%E -0.828%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 23:50
Everygame🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.58%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.45%E -0.828%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-27 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.58%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.01%E -1.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.58%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -2.01%E -1.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 23:50
BetAnything🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.58%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-27 22:05
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.58%E -1.16%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 23:35
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.02%E -1.36%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.01%E -1.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-27 22:20
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 23:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:55
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:55
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:39
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:39
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:39
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 12:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 13:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 12:55
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.89%E -1.77%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.77%E -5.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 23:35
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.33%E -1.98%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 23:10
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 21:14
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:15
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:15
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 23:15
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.77%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 23:15
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.20%E -2.40%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 22:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.14%E -1.82%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 23:15
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:10
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.26%E -2.51%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:15
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.83%E -2.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.39%E -3.21%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 22:00
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.52%E -3.93%K -9.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 23:30
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.08%E -2.83%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.08%E -4.29%K -10.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.70%E -2.16%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -6.51%E -3.04%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.21%E -5.03%K -13.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 21:55
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.39%E -3.48%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.95%E -3.57%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-27 21:55
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-27 23:45
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%1.7%2026-07-27 23:39
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-07-27 23:50
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-07-27 23:45
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-07-27 23:45

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