L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

2026-07-27 23:40 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 44.51%2.25cote équitable
EV +0.594%
Avantage +0.263%
Kelly +0.471%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.49%44.42%44.47%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2650.00%46.50%46.51%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Yankees (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.49%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%55.58%55.53%57.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.711.711.7760.98%58.56%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV +0.594%E +0.263%K +0.471%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -6.78%E -4.03%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 18:40
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV +0.594%E +0.263%K +0.471%G +0.003%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 19:55
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.19%E -0.534%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-26 18:05
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.08%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:05
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.08%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 18:05
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.08%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.44%E -5.12%K -12.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.08%E -0.944%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.44%E -5.12%K -12.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 18:40
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.52%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.78%E -1.01%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-26 18:35
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.34%E -1.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-26 20:25
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 18:40
MyBookie.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.41%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:45
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 19:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 19:00
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 18:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 18:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 18:15
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 19:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:25
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 20:00
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.75%E -2.22%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 18:50
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.19%E -2.44%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 18:45
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 18:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 18:50
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 18:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.44%E -5.12%K -12.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.00%E -5.49%K -14.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-07-26 20:25
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-26 20:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%8.8%2026-07-26 20:30