Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 43.30%; New York Yankees (Visit): 56.70%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -0.415%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.415%E -0.180%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.04%E -1.78%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.415%E -0.180%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.848%E -0.370%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.28%E -0.562%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.28%E -0.562%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.28%E -0.562%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.15%E -0.950%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.91%E -1.10%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.15%E -0.950%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.15%E -0.950%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 17:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.11%E -7.81%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.04%E -1.78%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 07:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.34%E -0.769%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 04:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -4.31%E -1.95%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.04%E -1.78%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 02:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 22:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 02:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.14%E -5.03%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-29 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.61%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.61%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -6.48%E -3.00%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.78%E -3.65%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.01%E -4.27%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | -0.0% | 2026-07-29 23:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-07-29 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 1.6% | 2026-07-29 23:00 |
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