Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v New York Yankees

Início: 2026-07-29 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 6–5 New York Yankees

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 43.30%2.31odd justa
EV -0.415%
Vantagem -0.180%
Kelly -0.319%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.79%43.14%43.33%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.132.222.222.3046.95%45.11%45.05%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Previsão 56.70%1.76odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.769%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%56.86%56.67%59.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.681.681.7464.52%59.70%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 43.30%; New York Yankees (Visitante): 56.70%. Para Chicago White Sox (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.31. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.30, com valor esperado de -0.415%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.415%E -0.180%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.04%E -1.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 15:00
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.415%E -0.180%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.14%E -5.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 16:20
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -0.848%E -0.370%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-29 23:39
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.28%E -0.562%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-29 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.28%E -0.562%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.28%E -0.562%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-29 23:00
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.15%E -0.950%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.91%E -1.10%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.15%E -0.950%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.15%E -0.950%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.47%E -1.44%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-28 18:10
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-29 17:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:00
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:00
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 23:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.58%E -1.15%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -12.11%E -7.81%K -22.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 23:40
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.04%E -1.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-29 23:40
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 07:50
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 23:39
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.45%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 23:00
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.34%E -0.769%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-29 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 23:40
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 04:48
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.88%E -1.75%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 01:04
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%EV -4.31%E -1.95%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-29 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.04%E -1.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 23:30
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 18:55
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 23:30
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 02:24
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 22:10
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-29 14:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 18:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 02:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.74%E -2.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.14%E -5.03%K -13.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-29 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-29 23:00
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.61%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.61%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 01:24
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -6.48%E -3.00%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-29 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 23:30
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.17%E -2.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-29 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.74%E -2.82%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.87%E -3.54%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 23:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 23:29
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 23:25
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.91%E -3.21%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.44%E -3.90%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -7.78%E -3.65%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -7.01%E -4.27%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 23:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%-0.0%2026-07-29 23:39
ProphetX◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-07-29 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%0.6%2026-07-29 23:40
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-29 22:40
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-29 23:40
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-07-29 23:30
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-07-29 23:40
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%1.6%2026-07-29 23:00