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Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago White Sox (Local)
Prediction 49.81%2.01fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.951%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.91%49.76%50.00%50.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.911.911.9754.35%52.41%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Guardians (Visit)
Prediction 50.19%1.99fair odd
EV -0.625%
Edge -0.316%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.46%50.24%50.00%51.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.881.891.9855.87%53.09%52.91%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 49.81%; Cleveland Guardians (Visit): 50.19%. For Cleveland Guardians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -0.625%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 19:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.37%E -1.21%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-24 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.625%E -0.316%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-24 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.65%E -3.57%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 19:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -6.65%E -3.57%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-24 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 19:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-24 19:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 20:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 20:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.91%EV -6.85%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -8.35%E -4.54%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23% | 9.7% | 2026-06-24 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23% | 9.7% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |