L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Cleveland Guardians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-24 20:51 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 3–4 Cleveland Guardians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 49.81%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.951%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.91%49.76%50.00%50.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.911.911.9754.35%52.41%52.36%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Guardians (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.19%1.99cote équitable
EV -0.625%
Avantage -0.316%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.46%50.24%50.00%51.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.881.891.9855.87%53.09%52.91%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 19:29
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.37%E -1.21%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 19:30
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 19:30
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 19:30
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 20:20
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -0.625%E -0.316%K -0.638%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 20:00
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 20:10
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.65%E -3.57%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:30
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 20:20
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:39
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -6.65%E -3.57%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 19:40
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 19:39
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 19:29
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 20:19
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 19:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 19:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 19:30
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 20:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:09
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:10
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 19:30
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:30
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 19:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 20:50
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 20:50
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 20:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 20:50
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 20:50
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 20:50
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.15%E -4.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 20:50
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 20:50
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -8.66%E -4.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 20:50
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -9.16%E -5.06%K -11.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 20:50
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.15%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.91%EV -6.85%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%EV -10.16%E -5.68%K -12.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-24 20:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 20:50
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -8.35%E -4.54%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -5.64%E -3.00%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-24 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%9.7%2026-06-24 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%9.7%2026-06-24 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-06-24 20:50