Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 5–10 Chicago Cubs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 47.00%2.13fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.173%
Kelly -0.327%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.13%46.95%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.052.052.1254.35%48.84%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 53.00%1.89fair odd
EV -0.885%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.87%53.05%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.22%56.18%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 47.00%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 53.00%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.366%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.366%E -0.173%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 23:05
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.836%E -0.396%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 23:34
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.836%E -0.396%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.836%E -0.396%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:25
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.37%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 23:00
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.78%E -0.850%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 23:15
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.78%E -0.850%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:25
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 21:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 17:20
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 23:10
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:30
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.37%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 23:40
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.90%E -5.82%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:40
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -10.96%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:40
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.96%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 23:40
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:40
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.54%E -2.75%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:39
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:40
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 23:40
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.36%E -4.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.36%E -4.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.885%E -0.473%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -13.53%E -7.35%K -16.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-05-15 23:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-15 23:25
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-15 23:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-15 22:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-15 23:40