L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Chicago Cubs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 5–10 Chicago Cubs

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 47.00%2.13cote équitable
EV -0.366%
Avantage -0.173%
Kelly -0.327%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%47.13%46.95%49.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.842.052.052.1254.35%48.84%48.78%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.00%1.89cote équitable
EV -0.885%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.53%52.87%53.05%55.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.781.8759.52%56.22%56.18%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.366%E -0.173%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 23:05
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.836%E -0.396%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 23:34
BetUS2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.836%E -0.396%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:20
BetAnything2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.836%E -0.396%K -0.753%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:25
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:35
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:35
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 21:25
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:25
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:25
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.78%E -4.47%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 18:20
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.31%E -4.80%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.31%E -0.622%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.37%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 23:00
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.78%E -0.850%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 23:15
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.78%E -0.850%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 23:39
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:25
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.19%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:25
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:05
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 21:40
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:00
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 17:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:00
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:55
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 23:10
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:25
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 23:30
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.37%E -5.48%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 23:40
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.90%E -5.82%K -14.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:40
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -10.96%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-15 23:40
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.13%E -2.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.96%E -6.52%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 23:40
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 23:35
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:40
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.07%E -2.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.13%E -2.86%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:35
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.54%E -2.75%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:39
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.19%E -3.49%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 23:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.72%E -3.82%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.01%E -3.00%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.25%E -4.14%K -9.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 23:20
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.53%E -1.94%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 23:40
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.36%E -4.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.36%E -4.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.59%E -2.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -0.885%E -0.473%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.24%E -5.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.00%E -1.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -13.53%E -7.35%K -16.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -5.66%E -3.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%0.1%2026-05-15 23:40
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-05-15 23:25
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-15 23:40
BetOpenly2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-15 23:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-15 22:10
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-05-15 23:40