The School of Odds

Chicago White Sox v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-07 23:41 — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Option 1: Chicago White Sox (Local)

1.9052.63%Min
2.0249.57%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.1546.51%Max
45.57%2.194Min
48.09%2.079Max
47.19%2.119Mean
47.44%2.108Median
47.26%2.116IQM
47.04%2.126Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 47.26%

EV +1.60%Edge +0.745%Kelly +1.39%Growth +0.022%

Option 2: Boston Red Sox (Visit)

1.7258.14%Min
1.8055.50%Mean
1.8055.56%Median
1.8952.91%Max
51.91%1.926Min
54.43%1.837Max
52.81%1.893Mean
52.56%1.903Median
52.74%1.896IQM
52.96%1.888Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.89 under the IQM model: 52.74%

EV -0.315%Edge -0.167%Kelly -0.354%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChicago White Sox (Local) ▼Boston Red Sox (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets2.15I 46.51% NM 45.57%EV +1.60% E +0.745% K +1.39% G +0.022%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.43%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 17:55
BetUS2.14I 46.73% NM 45.69%EV +1.13% E +0.528% K +0.991% G +0.011%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.31%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-06 19:29
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95% NM 45.80%EV +0.657% E +0.308% K +0.581% G +0.004%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.20%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 17:55
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95% NM 45.80%EV +0.657% E +0.308% K +0.581% G +0.004%1.80I 55.56% NM 54.20%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-06 17:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.12% E -1.52% K -2.98% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.12% E -1.52% K -2.98% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:35
Caesars2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.12% E -1.52% K -2.98% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:30
1xBet2.04I 49.02% NM 48.09%EV -3.60% E -1.76% K -3.46% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 51.91%EV -0.315% E -0.167% K -0.354% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-06 18:35
FanDuel2.02I 49.50% NM 47.53%EV -4.54% E -2.25% K -4.45% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.47%EV -3.48% E -1.90% K -4.19% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 18:10
Bet Right2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -4.54% E -2.25% K -4.45% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.01% E -2.20% K -4.89% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-06 18:10
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50% NM 47.12%EV -4.54% E -2.25% K -4.45% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.88%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.48% E -1.90% K -4.19% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 18:20
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -3.48% E -1.90% K -4.19% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 18:24
PlayUp2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -4.01% E -2.20% K -4.89% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 18:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:09
Fliff2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:20
888sport2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.49% E -2.74% K -5.49% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51% NM 47.62%EV -6.43% E -3.25% K -6.56% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.38%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 18:18
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -7.85% E -4.03% K -8.26% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -5.06% E -2.81% K -6.33% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 18:13
ReBet1.95I 51.28% NM 47.58%EV -7.85% E -4.03% K -8.26% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 52.42%EV -6.64% E -3.75% K -8.63% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-06 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36% NM 47.67%EV -9.74% E -5.10% K -10.70% G +0.000%1.74I 57.47% NM 52.33%EV -8.23% E -4.73% K -11.12% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-06 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63% NM 47.51%EV -10.21% E -5.37% K -11.35% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 52.49%EV -9.28% E -5.40% K -12.89% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-06 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerChicago White Sox (Local)Boston Red Sox (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95% NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91% NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-07-06 19:40
Novig2.11I 47.39% NM 46.98%1.87I 53.48% NM 53.02%0.9%2026-07-06 20:35
Polymarket2.09I 47.85% NM 47.09%1.86I 53.76% NM 52.91%1.6%2026-07-06 20:00
Smarkets1.91I 52.36% NM 47.67%1.74I 57.47% NM 52.33%9.8%2026-07-06 18:20
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.58%GTbets 2.15 (46.8%) / 1xBet 1.89 (53.2%)Show all 4 combinations
Chicago White Sox (Local)Boston Red Sox (Visit)Margin
GTbets 2.15 (46.8%)1xBet 1.89 (53.2%)+0.582%
BetUS 2.14 (46.9%)1xBet 1.89 (53.1%)+0.362%
BetOnline.ag 2.13 (47.0%)1xBet 1.89 (53.0%)+0.142%
LowVig.ag 2.13 (47.0%)1xBet 1.89 (53.0%)+0.142%