The School of Odds

Chicago White Sox v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 1–8 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.871%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.72%46.75%48.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.032.042.1051.55%49.18%48.90%47.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.98%53.28%53.25%54.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.801.801.8557.47%55.50%55.56%54.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 23:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 20:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 18:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.25%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 16:19
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:05
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.48%E -0.802%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 23:19
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 21:40
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 21:45
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 21:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.61%E -2.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 09:35
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.61%E -2.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 23:14
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.68%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:40
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 11:44
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 05:54
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 16:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 16:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 02:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:25
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 20:55
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.48%E -0.802%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 23:15
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 12:49
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:20
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 11:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.10%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:00
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.10%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:25
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 19:05
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.04%E -3.00%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:39
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 20:59
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 21:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 12:49
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.25%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 23:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 23:25
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 23:25
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 23:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 23:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 21:15
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -9.31%E -4.80%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.68%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-07 23:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-07 02:30
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-07-07 23:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-07-07 23:40
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-07 23:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-07-07 23:40
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-07-07 23:39