L’École des cotes

Chicago White Sox v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago White Sox 1–8 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prévision 46.75%2.14cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.871%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%46.72%46.75%48.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.032.042.1051.55%49.18%48.90%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.25%1.88cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.802%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.98%53.28%53.25%54.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.801.801.8557.47%55.50%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 23:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 20:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 18:35
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.74%E -3.25%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 16:19
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.83%E -0.871%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:05
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.48%E -0.802%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 23:19
GTbets2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-07 21:40
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.30%E -1.10%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 21:45
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.02%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 21:40
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.61%E -2.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 09:35
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.61%E -2.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 23:14
Bovada2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.68%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 20:35
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 23:40
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 11:44
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 05:54
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 16:25
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 12:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 16:20
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 01:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 12:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 02:30
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:25
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:25
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 02:25
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.17%E -2.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 20:55
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.48%E -0.802%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-07 23:15
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 12:49
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:20
SportsBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.63%E -2.27%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 11:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.10%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:00
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.10%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:25
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.57%E -2.76%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 19:05
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -6.04%E -3.00%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:39
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.55%E -1.39%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 20:59
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 21:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 12:49
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.21%E -2.93%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.74%E -3.25%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 23:30
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.28%E -3.57%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.81%E -3.89%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 23:35
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 23:25
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-07 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -7.44%E -3.76%K -7.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -7.34%E -4.22%K -9.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-07 23:25
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 23:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.91%E -4.01%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.08%E -1.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-07 23:25
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.84%E -4.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.15%E -2.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 21:15
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -9.31%E -4.80%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.68%E -2.61%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-07 23:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-07 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-07-07 23:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-07 02:30
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-07-07 23:40
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-07-07 23:40
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-07 23:40
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-07-07 23:40
BetOpenly2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%3.4%2026-07-07 23:39