The School of Odds
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Chicago White Sox v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-07-09 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 1–2 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 51.23%1.95fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.30%51.17%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9255.56%53.79%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 48.77%2.05fair odd
EV -0.995%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.966%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.70%48.83%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0353.48%51.08%51.15%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.64%E -0.854%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 18:01
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.64%E -0.854%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 18:05
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 18:04
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 18:00
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:34
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:45
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 16:15
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:55
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.48%E -0.734%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 18:09
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.995%E -0.490%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 18:04
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.995%E -0.490%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 18:05
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.995%E -0.490%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 18:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:15
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 17:03
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:15
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.48%E -0.734%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 18:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:49
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:34
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:49
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:05
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:29
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:50
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:45
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 18:04
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 17:44
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.71%E -2.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 18:04
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 18:04
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:54
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:15
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.74%E -3.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:10
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:10
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 18:10
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 18:09
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:50
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 18:09
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.28%E -4.02%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.02%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 17:43
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 18:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-07-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-09 18:10
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-09 18:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-09 17:55
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-09 17:55
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-09 17:55
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97%1.7%2026-07-09 18:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-09 18:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-09 18:05