Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-07-09 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 1–2 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Previsão 51.23%1.95odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.854%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.30%51.17%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.861.851.9255.56%53.79%54.05%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 48.77%2.05odd justa
EV -0.995%
Vantagem -0.490%
Kelly -0.966%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.70%48.83%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.961.962.0353.48%51.08%51.15%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago White Sox (Local): 51.23%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 48.77%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.05. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.03, com valor esperado de -0.995%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.64%E -0.854%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 18:01
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -1.64%E -0.854%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-09 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 18:04
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 18:00
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:34
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.15%E -1.13%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 17:45
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 16:15
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.36%E -3.31%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-09 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.66%E -1.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 15:55
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.48%E -0.734%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-09 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.18%E -1.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-09 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.995%E -0.490%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.995%E -0.490%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 18:05
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.995%E -0.490%K -0.966%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-09 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-09 17:03
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.69%E -1.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.48%E -0.734%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-09 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:49
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:15
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:34
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 17:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 18:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.20%E -2.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.71%K -10.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-09 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.71%E -2.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-09 16:34
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-09 18:04
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-09 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-09 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-09 18:00
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 17:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 16:34
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.85%E -3.59%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-09 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.23%E -2.82%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.74%E -3.12%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:10
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.92%E -1.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-09 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-09 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.25%E -3.42%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-09 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.76%E -3.72%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.43%E -1.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-09 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.28%E -4.02%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.87%E -3.04%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-09 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.02%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.34%E -3.86%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-09 17:43
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.46%E -1.23%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-09 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.41%E -2.25%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-09 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.79%E -4.33%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.90%E -2.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-09 18:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-07-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-09 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-07-09 18:10
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-09 18:10
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-09 17:55
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-09 17:55
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-09 17:55
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.03%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.97%1.7%2026-07-09 18:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-09 18:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-07-09 18:05