The School of Odds

Chicago White Sox v Athletics

2026-07-11 18:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 48.60%2.06fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.61%48.44%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.861.961.972.0154%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 51.40%1.95fair odd
EV -0.803%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.863%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.39%51.56%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9357%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.31%E -1.15%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.83%E -0.958%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-10 17:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-10 18:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.80%E -1.40%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.48%E -4.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 18:19
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.28%E -1.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-10 18:15
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.803%E -0.416%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.803%E -0.416%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-10 18:54
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.77%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-10 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:25
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.91%E -2.66%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:39
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.43%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 17:39
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.74%E -2.42%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.43%E -2.95%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 17:30
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.89%E -2.08%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 17:24
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 18:15
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.23%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.94%E -3.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 17:28
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.71%E -2.94%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.40%E -2.37%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:25
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.03%K -8.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.34%E -1.23%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:24
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.14%E -4.31%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -8.51%E -4.78%K -10.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 18:14
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.60%E -5.16%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -9.54%E -5.42%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-10 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.50%-1.0%2026-07-10 18:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-10 17:45
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%8.8%2026-07-10 18:35
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%10.0%2026-07-10 17:25