Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Athletics

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 1–0 Athletics

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 53.25%1.88fair odd
EV +0.634%
Edge +0.336%
Kelly +0.713%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%53.22%53.25%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.8957.47%55.15%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Athletics (Visit)

Prediction 46.75%2.14fair odd
EV +0.989%
Edge +0.458%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.78%46.75%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.002.1652.36%49.54%50.00%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 53.25%; Athletics (Visit): 46.75%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.989%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV +0.989%E +0.458%K +0.853%G +0.008%1.9%2026-07-11 18:09
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.522%E +0.243%K +0.454%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-11 18:04
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.522%E +0.243%K +0.454%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-11 18:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.35%E -4.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.522%E +0.243%K +0.454%G +0.002%4.0%2026-07-11 18:09
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.054%E +0.025%K +0.048%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.413%E -0.194%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.413%E -0.194%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 18:05
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:09
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 18:09
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 18:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 15:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 17:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:07
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.35%E -4.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 18:09
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:59
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 16:14
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:59
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:59
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:39
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 16:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 16:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV +0.634%E +0.336%K +0.713%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -7.89%E -4.01%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.89%E -4.01%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV +0.102%E +0.054%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV +0.102%E +0.054%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.963%E -0.518%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.963%E -0.518%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 18:07
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 16:34
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.70%E -5.60%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-11 18:09
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-07-11 18:07
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-11 18:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-11 18:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-11 18:05
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-11 18:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%4.1%2026-07-11 18:04

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