La escuela de los momios

Chicago White Sox v Athletics

Inicio: 2026-07-11 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 1–0 Athletics

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Predicción 53.25%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.634%
Ventaja +0.336%
Kelly +0.713%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.91%53.22%53.25%55.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.811.801.8957.47%55.15%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Athletics (Visitante)

Predicción 46.75%2.14momio equitativo
EV +0.989%
Ventaja +0.458%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.73%46.78%46.75%49.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.002.1652.36%49.54%50.00%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV +0.989%E +0.458%K +0.853%G +0.008%1.9%2026-07-11 18:09
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.522%E +0.243%K +0.454%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-11 18:04
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV +0.522%E +0.243%K +0.454%G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-11 18:04
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.35%E -4.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.522%E +0.243%K +0.454%G +0.002%4.0%2026-07-11 18:09
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV +0.054%E +0.025%K +0.048%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:04
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.413%E -0.194%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -0.413%E -0.194%K -0.366%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-11 18:05
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:09
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -1.82%E -0.865%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 18:09
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 16:19
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.22%E -1.55%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:09
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 18:08
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.29%E -3.57%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 17:35
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 15:49
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 17:35
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:00
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:09
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:07
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 18:09
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.35%E -4.23%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.15%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 18:09
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.62%E -2.27%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -2.03%E -1.10%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:09
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 17:59
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 16:14
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 17:59
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:04
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 16:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 16:09
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.16%E -2.31%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 18:09
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.82%E -3.90%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.49%E -3.25%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.09%E -1.70%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-11 16:14
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -3.63%E -2.00%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:08
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.43%E -3.75%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 18:09
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV +0.634%E +0.336%K +0.713%G +0.005%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -7.89%E -4.01%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 16:34
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.89%E -4.01%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV +0.102%E +0.054%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 16:34
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV +0.102%E +0.054%K +0.116%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -8.83%E -4.53%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.431%E -0.230%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.963%E -0.518%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 16:34
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.963%E -0.518%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 16:34
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -5.76%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 18:07
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 16:34
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.50%E -0.808%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.76%E -5.06%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 16:34
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.70%E -5.60%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-11 18:09
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-07-11 18:07
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-11 18:09
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-11 18:09
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-11 18:05
ProphetX1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-07-11 18:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%4.1%2026-07-11 18:04