The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 18:21 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV -0.513%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%49.26%49.34%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.952.0252.63%51.49%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV -0.532%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.554%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.74%50.66%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9655.56%53.26%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 49.25%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 50.75%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.02, with an expected value of -0.513%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.513%E -0.254%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.65%E -4.81%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 15:49
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.50%E -0.749%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 16:19
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.50%E -0.749%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 13:19
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 15:39
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.532%E -0.272%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-21 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 15:25
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:28
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 13:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 15:29
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 15:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:29
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:29
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 15:39
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:29
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:19
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 15:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 16:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -3.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:28
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.61%E -3.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 14:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-21 15:30
ProphetX◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-06-21 16:19
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-21 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-21 16:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-21 16:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-21 16:20
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-06-21 16:19
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-21 16:19
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-06-21 16:16