Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Toronto Blue Jays

Início: 2026-06-21 18:21 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 49.25%2.03odd justa
EV -0.513%
Vantagem -0.254%
Kelly -0.503%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.12%49.26%49.34%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.941.952.0252.63%51.49%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante)

Previsão 50.75%1.97odd justa
EV -0.532%
Vantagem -0.272%
Kelly -0.554%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%50.74%50.66%52.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.881.871.9655.56%53.26%53.48%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 49.25%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visitante): 50.75%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.03. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.02, com valor esperado de -0.513%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -0.513%E -0.254%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -8.65%E -4.81%K -10.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 15:49
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.50%E -0.749%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-21 16:19
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.50%E -0.749%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-21 13:19
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 15:49
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.05%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -2.98%E -1.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 15:39
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.532%E -0.272%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-21 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.47%E -1.77%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 15:25
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-21 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:28
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 13:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 14:09
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 15:29
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:19
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 15:59
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:40
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 15:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:29
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 15:10
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.61%E -3.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:29
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.45%E -2.30%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 15:39
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.08%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:29
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.95%E -2.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:19
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.59%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:20
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.44%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.64%E -4.20%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 15:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 16:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 16:19
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.61%E -3.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 14:28
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.11%E -3.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 13:39
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 13:20
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.61%E -3.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 14:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-21 15:30
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-06-21 16:19
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-21 13:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-21 16:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-21 16:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-21 16:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-06-21 16:19
BetOpenly2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-21 16:19
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-06-21 16:16