Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–2 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 57.96%1.73fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.92%57.93%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.51%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.511%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.08%42.07%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.262.252.3545.45%44.18%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 57.96%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 42.04%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 18:19
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.20%E -0.511%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 16:39
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 18:19
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 18:19
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 18:19
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.20%E -0.511%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:39
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:19
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:39
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:19
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:49
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:19
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:19
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:19
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.56%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 16:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 18:19
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 13:39
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 13:39
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 17:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 17:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:19
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-06 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-06 18:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-06 18:19
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-06-06 18:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-06 18:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 16:20
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-06-06 18:19