Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-06-06 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 3–2 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 57.96%1.73odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%57.92%57.93%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.51%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 42.04%2.38odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.511%
Kelly -0.890%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%42.08%42.07%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.262.252.3545.45%44.18%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 57.96%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 42.04%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.38. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.35, com valor esperado de -1.20%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 18:19
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.05%E -1.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-06 18:19
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.20%E -0.511%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-06 16:39
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.04%E -0.876%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.98%E -2.21%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-06 18:19
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 18:19
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 18:19
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.20%E -0.511%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-06 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-06 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-06 16:39
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:19
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:39
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:19
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.67%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 18:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:49
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:19
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:19
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-06 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.25%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:19
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.56%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 16:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 18:19
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 13:39
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 13:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.44%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 13:39
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 17:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 18:19
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.51%E -3.41%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 17:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-06 18:19
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-06-06 18:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-06-06 18:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-06 18:19
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-06-06 18:20
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-06 18:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-06 16:20
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-06-06 18:19