Language:English
Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 59.27%1.69fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.32%59.31%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.14%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 40.73%2.45fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.68%40.69%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.4844.44%42.43%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.27%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 40.73%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.02%E +0.411%K +0.689%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.02%E +0.411%K +0.689%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.612%E +0.248%K +0.416%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.612%E +0.248%K +0.416%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +0.205%E +0.083%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.202%E -0.083%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.83%E -0.760%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.40%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.14%E -5.25%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.975%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 21:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.87%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 20:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:21 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.40%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 23:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.91%E -2.56%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.03%E -0.614%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 19:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.40%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.54%E -4.84%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 23:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 23:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 00:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 22:41 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |