La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chicago Cubs v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Predicción 59.27%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.614%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.32%59.31%60.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.14%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 40.73%2.45momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.411%
Kelly +0.689%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%40.68%40.69%42.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.352.4844.44%42.43%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.02%E +0.411%K +0.689%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Everygame | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +1.02%E +0.411%K +0.689%G +0.007% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.612%E +0.248%K +0.416%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.612%E +0.248%K +0.416%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV +0.205%E +0.083%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-30 00:00 |
| BetUS | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.202%E -0.083%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.83%E -0.760%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.40%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Caesars | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.14%E -5.25%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.24%E -0.933%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.62%E -0.975%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.65%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-29 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-29 21:10 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.05%E -1.28%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.87%E -1.64%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 21:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-29 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 22:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-29 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 20:00 |
| Fliff | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-29 23:21 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-29 23:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.77%E -3.63%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.28%E -1.82%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.40%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 21:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.68%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:39 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.09%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.58%E -2.85%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.50%E -2.37%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 23:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.91%E -2.56%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-29 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.03%E -0.614%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-29 14:10 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-29 19:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.40%E -2.08%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-29 21:20 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 23:49 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.99%E -2.46%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-29 23:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.36%E -4.02%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-29 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.54%E -4.84%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-29 23:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 21:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.17%E -3.23%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-29 23:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.95%E -4.43%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.35%E -3.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-29 23:36 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 0.4% | 2026-06-29 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-06-29 23:40 |
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 21:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-06-30 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-06-29 22:41 |
| BetOpenly | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54% | 2.4% | 2026-06-29 23:50 |