默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 18:21 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Cubs (主队)

预测 53.65%1.86公平赔率
EV -0.742%
优势 -0.401%
Kelly -0.873%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.07%53.46%53.66%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.781.8559.52%56.14%56.18%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Pirates (客队)

预测 46.35%2.16公平赔率
EV -1.74%
优势 -0.823%
Kelly -1.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
45.17%46.54%46.34%48.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.032.052.1252.36%49.21%48.78%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Cubs (主队):53.65%;Pittsburgh Pirates (客队):46.35%。 对于“Chicago Cubs (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.86。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.85,期望值为-0.742%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -0.742%E -0.401%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 17:20
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 16:07
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.06%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.48%E -6.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:20
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.74%E -0.823%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:25
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:25
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -9.16%E -4.67%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.06%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:14
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -11.01%E -5.74%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:55
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.57%E -3.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 17:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:09
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 18:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.23%E -4.16%K -8.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-12 18:19
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-12 18:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-09-12 18:20
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%1.6%2026-09-12 17:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20