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Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)
Прогноз 53.65%1.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.742%
Преимущество -0.401%
Kelly -0.873%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.07%53.46%53.66%54.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.681.781.781.8559.52%56.14%56.18%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости)
Прогноз 46.35%2.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -0.823%
Kelly -1.56%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.12
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.17%46.54%46.34%48.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.912.032.052.1252.36%49.21%48.78%47.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chicago Cubs (Хозяева): 53.65%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Гости): 46.35%. Для исхода «Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 1.86. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 1.85, математическое ожидание — -0.742%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (66 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -0.742%E -0.401%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-12 16:07 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.06%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.48%E -6.01%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.74%E -0.823%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -9.16%E -4.67%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.06%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-12 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -11.01%E -5.74%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.57%E -3.17%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-12 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 17:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.23%E -4.16%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09% | 1.6% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |