StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs v Pittsburgh Pirates

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-12 18:21 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chicago Cubs (Heim)

Prognose 53.65%1.86faire Quote
EV -0.742%
Vorteil -0.401%
Kelly -0.873%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.07%53.46%53.66%54.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.681.781.781.8559.52%56.14%56.18%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.35%2.16faire Quote
EV -1.74%
Vorteil -0.823%
Kelly -1.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.12

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
45.17%46.54%46.34%48.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.912.032.052.1252.36%49.21%48.78%47.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chicago Cubs (Heim): 53.65%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Auswärts): 46.35%. Für Chicago Cubs (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.86. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.85, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.742%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -0.742%E -0.401%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 17:20
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-12 16:07
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.06%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 18:10
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:25
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-12 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -1.82%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -11.48%E -6.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:20
GTbets🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.74%E -0.823%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:25
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 17:25
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -9.16%E -4.67%K -9.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -2.35%E -1.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -2.89%E -1.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -10.55%E -5.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:19
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 14:20
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.42%E -1.90%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.62%E -4.94%K -10.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 18:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.06%E -1.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-12 16:14
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -4.53%E -2.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -11.01%E -5.74%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:30
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:55
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -8.70%E -4.41%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.57%E -3.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 16:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.60%E -1.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 17:59
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.38%E -3.16%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:10
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:09
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 18:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.67%E -1.27%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 18:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.99%E -2.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -8.23%E -4.16%K -8.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-12 18:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-12 18:19
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-09-12 18:20
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-09-12 18:20
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 52.91%2.09I 47.85%NM 47.09%1.6%2026-09-12 17:00
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-09-12 18:20