L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 23:41 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 7–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 63.18%1.58cote équitable
EV -0.807%
Avantage -0.514%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.58%63.20%63.13%64.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Phillies (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.82%2.72cote équitable
EV -0.587%
Avantage -0.217%
Kelly -0.345%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%36.80%36.87%38.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.572.552.7040.82%38.95%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.807%E -0.514%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 22:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -1.44%E -0.922%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 23:39
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.44%E -0.922%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:29
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:24
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 22:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 22:24
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.587%E -0.217%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:45
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.01%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 22:24
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -5.74%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 23:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 22:28
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:44
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -4.64%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 22:20
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.01%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:15
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:08
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.85%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:05
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:05
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.06%E -0.774%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:10
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:09
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.37%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:44
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.37%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:44
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:05
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 22:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:10
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:34
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 23:40
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 23:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 23:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.12%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 22:10
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.02%E -6.26%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-22 23:40
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-22 20:05
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-22 22:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-04-22 23:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-22 23:35
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-22 23:40
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-04-22 23:39