مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-04-22 23:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chicago Cubs 7–2 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chicago Cubs (المضيف)

التنبؤ 63.18%1.58السعر العادل
EV -0.807%
الأفضلية -0.514%
Kelly -1.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.58%63.20%63.13%64.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.82%2.72السعر العادل
EV -0.587%
الأفضلية -0.217%
Kelly -0.345%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.47%36.80%36.87%38.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.572.552.7040.82%38.95%39.22%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.807%E -0.514%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 22:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -1.44%E -0.922%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 23:39
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.44%E -0.922%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:29
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:24
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 22:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 22:24
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.587%E -0.217%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:45
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.01%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 22:24
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -5.74%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 23:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 22:28
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:44
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -4.64%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 22:20
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.01%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:15
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:08
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.85%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:05
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:05
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.06%E -0.774%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:10
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:09
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.37%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:44
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.37%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:44
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:05
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 22:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:10
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:34
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 23:40
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 23:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 23:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.12%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 22:10
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.02%E -6.26%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-22 23:40
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-22 20:05
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-22 22:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-04-22 23:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-22 23:35
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-22 23:40
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-04-22 23:39