La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-04-22 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 7–2 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 63.18%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.807%
Ventaja -0.514%
Kelly -1.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.58%63.20%63.13%64.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.521.5769.44%66.05%65.79%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 36.82%2.72momio equitativo
EV -0.587%
Ventaja -0.217%
Kelly -0.345%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%36.80%36.87%38.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.572.552.7040.82%38.95%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.807%E -0.514%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-22 22:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%EV -1.44%E -0.922%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%EV -3.16%E -1.20%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 23:39
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.44%E -0.922%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 23:29
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -2.07%E -1.34%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-22 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:24
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -1.69%E -0.634%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:20
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 22:39
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.70%E -1.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-22 22:24
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.587%E -0.217%K -0.345%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 22:09
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:45
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.01%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 22:24
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -5.74%E -2.24%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 23:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 23:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 20:49
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -3.33%E -2.18%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 22:28
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 22:44
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -4.64%E -1.79%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 22:20
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.01%E -1.94%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 22:15
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:39
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 22:08
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.85%E -2.71%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 22:10
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:05
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.97%E -2.61%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 23:05
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.06%E -0.774%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 22:10
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 22:09
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.37%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:44
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.37%E -2.09%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:44
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:05
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:29
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.60%E -3.04%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.95%E -3.18%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 22:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 22:10
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:09
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:34
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.23%E -3.49%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 23:40
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 22:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 23:40
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.86%E -3.93%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -8.69%E -3.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 23:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.43%E -0.916%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.49%E -4.39%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.12%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.27%E -1.64%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 22:10
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.85%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.79%E -4.00%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 23:40
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.39%E -5.79%K -18.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.11%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.02%E -6.26%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.53%E -1.35%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 22:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-22 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-04-22 23:40
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-22 20:05
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-04-22 22:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-04-22 23:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-22 23:35
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-04-22 23:40
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-04-22 23:39