Language:English
Chicago Cubs v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prediction 51.62%1.94fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%51.50%51.59%52.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.05%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 48.38%2.07fair odd
EV -0.830%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.61%48.50%48.41%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.951.942.0553.76%51.31%51.41%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 51.62%; New York Mets (Visit): 48.38%. For New York Mets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -0.830%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 18:12 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 12:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-18 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 18:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.28%E -1.13%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 12:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.05%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.830%E -0.405%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 18:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.54%E -5.10%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.54%E -5.10%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -10.02%E -5.39%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.73%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 18:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.01%E -2.72%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 14:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.15%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.57%E -4.53%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -6.56%E -3.62%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.05%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.09%E -4.26%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 18:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.05%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.59%E -4.24%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-04-18 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 18:20 |