L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 4–2 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 51.62%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.87%51.50%51.59%52.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.05%54.05%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.38%2.07cote équitable
EV -0.830%
Avantage -0.405%
Kelly -0.791%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.61%48.50%48.41%50.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.951.942.0553.76%51.31%51.41%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.77%E -1.38%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 18:12
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:49
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.40%E -0.731%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 18:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -1.91%E -1.01%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 18:19
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.28%E -1.13%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 18:20
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.43%E -1.29%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 15:55
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 18:10
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.80%E -0.886%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 18:10
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 12:24
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -9.05%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 18:20
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.830%E -0.405%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 14:54
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 14:54
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 18:09
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.54%E -5.10%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 15:55
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.54%E -5.10%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.46%E -1.85%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -10.02%E -5.39%K -11.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:20
MyBookie.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.73%E -1.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 14:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 14:54
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 14:54
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 18:02
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 17:10
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:45
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.64%E -3.44%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:55
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.01%E -2.72%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.18%E -2.65%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 14:54
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 14:55
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.25%E -1.62%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 18:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 18:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.67%E -2.91%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.15%E -3.17%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:05
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 18:20
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.22%E -2.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.12%E -3.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 18:20
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.57%E -4.53%K -9.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 18:20
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -6.56%E -3.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -9.05%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 17:50
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.60%E -3.98%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 18:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.09%E -4.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 18:08
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -9.05%E -4.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 18:20
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -7.59%E -4.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -4.70%E -2.39%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 18:15
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-18 18:15
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-18 18:15
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-04-18 18:20
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-18 18:20
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.9%2026-04-18 17:20
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-04-18 17:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-04-18 18:20