Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 17–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV -0.370%
Edge -0.186%
Kelly -0.373%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%50.16%50.00%51.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.901.901.9956.18%52.76%52.63%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -0.630%
Edge -0.317%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.80%49.84%50.00%52.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.911.9954.95%52.29%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 50.07%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 49.93%. For Chicago Cubs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -0.370%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.370%E -0.186%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 23:35
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 22:56
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.12%E -5.01%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-31 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:40
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:39
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 21:13
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 22:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 23:35
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.630%E -0.317%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:35
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 23:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:50
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:40
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.88%E -4.28%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -8.88%E -4.88%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.88%E -6.11%K -13.95%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.12%E -4.41%K -9.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 23:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-31 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-31 23:35
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-31 23:35
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-31 23:40
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-08-31 23:40
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-08-31 23:40
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-08-31 23:20
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%3.4%2026-08-31 23:40