Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Milwaukee Brewers

Início: 2026-08-31 23:41 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 17–3 Milwaukee Brewers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 50.07%2.00odd justa
EV -0.370%
Vantagem -0.186%
Kelly -0.373%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.89%50.16%50.00%51.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.901.901.9956.18%52.76%52.63%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Previsão 49.93%2.00odd justa
EV -0.630%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.637%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.80%49.84%50.00%52.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.911.911.9954.95%52.29%52.36%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 50.07%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante): 49.93%. Para Chicago Cubs (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.99, com valor esperado de -0.370%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.370%E -0.186%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 23:35
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 22:56
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-31 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.870%E -0.439%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.12%E -5.01%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-31 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:40
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:39
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 21:13
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 22:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 23:39
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 23:35
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -0.630%E -0.317%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:35
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 23:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:00
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 22:00
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 23:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:30
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 21:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 21:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:39
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 23:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 21:30
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.57%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 23:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:29
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-31 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:50
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 23:40
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.88%E -3.70%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.12%E -2.70%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:34
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.12%E -3.26%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 23:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 23:40
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.38%E -3.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.12%K -8.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.88%E -4.28%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -8.88%E -4.88%K -10.83%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -10.88%E -6.11%K -13.95%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -8.12%E -4.41%K -9.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-31 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-08-31 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-31 23:35
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-31 23:35
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-31 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-31 23:40
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.62%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.38%1.3%2026-08-31 23:40
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-08-31 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-08-31 23:20
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.58%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.42%3.4%2026-08-31 23:40