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Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chicago Cubs (Хозяева)
Прогноз 56.77%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -1.03%
Kelly -2.44%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.73
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.12%56.81%56.74%58.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.601.671.681.7362.50%59.76%59.52%57.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Houston Astros (Гости)
Прогноз 43.23%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.146%
Преимущество -0.063%
Kelly -0.112%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.31
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.33%43.19%43.26%44.88%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.35%45.45%43.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chicago Cubs (Хозяева): 56.77%; Houston Astros (Гости): 43.23%. Для исхода «Houston Astros (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.313. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.310, математическое ожидание — -0.146%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-22 15:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.01%E -0.441%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.49%E -2.05%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.49%E -2.05%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-22 18:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 06:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.146%E -0.063%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-22 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 17:27 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.39%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (10)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 56.31% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.69% | -1.3% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-05-22 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79% | 1.6% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68% | 3.2% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |