La escuela de los momios

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-05-22 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 2–4 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Predicción 56.77%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.12%56.81%56.74%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.681.7362.50%59.76%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 43.23%2.31momio equitativo
EV -0.146%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.19%43.26%44.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.35%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 17:50
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-22 15:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.01%E -0.441%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-22 18:10
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 18:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:20
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.49%E -2.05%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 17:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.49%E -2.05%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 18:20
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-22 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 18:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 17:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 06:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:10
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:20
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.146%E -0.063%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-22 18:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 18:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 18:19
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 17:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 18:19
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 18:19
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:00
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 18:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 18:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 17:27
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 16:40
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:20
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:20
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.39%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 56.31%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.69%-1.3%2026-05-22 18:19
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-22 18:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-22 18:20
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-05-22 18:20