L’École des cotes

Chicago Cubs v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 18:21 UTC

Score final : Chicago Cubs 2–4 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prévision 56.77%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.12%56.81%56.74%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.671.681.7362.50%59.76%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.23%2.31cote équitable
EV -0.146%
Avantage -0.063%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.19%43.26%44.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.202.3148.78%45.35%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-22 17:50
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 56.53%EV -1.78%E -1.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.47%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-22 15:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -1.01%E -0.441%K -0.783%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-22 18:10
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 18:10
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.35%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.31%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-22 18:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 18:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 18:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-22 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.92%E -1.71%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 18:20
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.49%E -2.05%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 17:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.49%E -2.05%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 18:20
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-22 18:10
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 18:09
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 17:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 06:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:10
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.05%E -2.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:20
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.146%E -0.063%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-22 18:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 18:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 17:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 18:19
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 17:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.33%E -2.44%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:20
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.77%E -2.64%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 16:49
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.62%E -2.75%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 18:19
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 18:19
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.04%E -1.82%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 18:10
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:00
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 18:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 18:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 18:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -5.19%E -3.11%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.60%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:10
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.76%E -3.47%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 18:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 17:27
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.74%E -1.22%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 18:19
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.32%E -3.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.90%E -2.23%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 16:40
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.89%E -4.20%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:20
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.46%E -4.58%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.20%E -2.86%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 18:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.578%E -0.251%K -0.445%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:20
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.63%E -3.07%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.06%E -3.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -8.03%E -4.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -11.39%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-22 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -9.16%E -5.73%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 56.31%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.69%-1.3%2026-05-22 18:19
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-22 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-22 18:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-22 18:20
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-22 18:20
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%3.2%2026-05-22 18:20