语言:简体中文
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chicago Cubs (主队)
预测 58.94%1.70公平赔率
EV -0.976%
优势 -0.581%
Kelly -1.43%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.68
博彩公司预测分布
57.69%58.95%58.96%60.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.79%61.73%59.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cincinnati Reds (客队)
预测 41.06%2.44公平赔率
EV +1.82%
优势 +0.734%
Kelly +1.23%
增长率 +0.022%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
39.13%41.05%41.04%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.322.342.4846.51%43.10%42.74%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chicago Cubs (主队)：58.94%；Cincinnati Reds (客队)：41.06%。 对于“Cincinnati Reds (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.48，对应+1.82%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +1.82%E +0.734%K +1.23%G +0.022% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +0.589%E +0.241%K +0.407%G +0.002% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.05%E -0.437%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.57%E -0.937%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.87%E -0.784%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.28%E -0.960%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.28%E -0.960%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -0.976%E -0.581%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.57%E -0.937%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -0.976%E -0.581%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -0.976%E -0.581%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.34%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.73%E -5.45%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |