Langue:Français
Chicago Cubs v Cincinnati Reds
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chicago Cubs (Local)
Prévision 58.94%1.70cote équitable
EV -0.976%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.68
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%58.95%58.96%60.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.621.621.6865.36%61.79%61.73%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)
Prévision 41.06%2.44cote équitable
EV +1.82%
Avantage +0.734%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.13%41.05%41.04%42.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.322.342.4846.51%43.10%42.74%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Cubs (Local) : 58.94% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 41.06%. Pour Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.48, soit une espérance positive de +1.82%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%EV +1.82%E +0.734%K +1.23%G +0.022% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV +0.589%E +0.241%K +0.407%G +0.002% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.05%E -0.437%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -1.57%E -0.937%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.46%E -0.610%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.31%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.69%EV -1.87%E -0.784%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.28%E -0.960%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.82%E -6.42%K -18.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.28%E -0.960%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.70%E -1.14%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -0.976%E -0.581%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -3.11%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.57%E -0.937%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-30 23:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.28%E -3.95%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.52%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -0.976%E -0.581%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -0.976%E -0.581%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.93%E -1.68%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.34%E -1.86%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.75%E -2.05%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-30 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.92%E -2.41%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.51%E -2.79%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 23:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.10%E -3.17%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.64%E -5.57%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.57%E -2.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.39%E -2.80%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.74%E -1.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.33%E -2.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.62%E -3.39%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.87%E -4.35%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -8.44%E -3.79%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.69%E -3.56%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.46%E -4.75%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.67%E -4.40%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.05%E -5.16%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.73%E -5.45%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 2.3% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 23:25 |