Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.72
assuming max odds 2.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Cubs (Local): 57.23%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 42.77%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.517%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.517%E +0.220%K +0.383%G +0.002% | 1.7% | 2026-08-19 16:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.517%E +0.220%K +0.383%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.517%E +0.220%K +0.383%G +0.002% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.339%E -0.145%K -0.255%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 06:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 07:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.48%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-19 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-19 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.01%E -5.67%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 06:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 05:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 15:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 08:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.61%E -3.52%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 17:52 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 17:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.72%E -4.12%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.72%E -4.12%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.32%E -4.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.32%E -4.40%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-19 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -11.03%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -11.03%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-19 18:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.45%E -7.23%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.45%E -7.23%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.45%E -7.23%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 18:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 18:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 18:20 |