Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-19 18:21 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 0–3 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 57.23%1.75odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.913%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.05%57.06%57.22%59.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.671.671.7263.69%60.03%59.88%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 42.77%2.34odd justa
EV +0.517%
Vantagem +0.220%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.05%42.94%42.78%45.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.192.202.3550.00%45.57%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 57.23%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 42.77%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.34. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.517%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV +0.517%E +0.220%K +0.383%G +0.002%1.7%2026-08-19 16:19
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.517%E +0.220%K +0.383%G +0.002%3.2%2026-08-19 18:20
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.517%E +0.220%K +0.383%G +0.002%6.2%2026-08-19 18:20
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.339%E -0.145%K -0.255%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-19 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.19%E -0.517%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 18:20
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 06:29
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 07:44
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 18:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.86%E -4.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 16:20
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.15%E -6.47%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.62%E -0.705%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.48%E -1.09%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-19 17:05
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-19 15:15
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.91%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-19 17:50
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.33%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-19 18:19
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 17:05
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-19 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:20
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.01%E -5.67%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -3.76%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.19%E -1.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-19 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 15:44
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.04%E -2.27%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 06:34
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 05:24
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 08:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.90%E -2.68%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 18:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 18:20
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.00%E -3.01%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.75%E -3.10%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.61%E -3.52%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 17:52
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 18:20
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.14%E -1.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.72%E -4.12%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.72%E -4.12%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.04%E -3.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-19 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.32%E -4.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.32%E -4.40%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-19 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:20
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.57%E -0.913%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.18%E -4.85%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-19 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -11.03%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -11.03%E -5.30%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 18:20
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 18:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -3.29%E -1.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -3.86%E -2.30%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -12.32%E -6.01%K -11.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-19 18:20
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.45%E -7.23%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.45%E -7.23%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.71%E -1.60%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -14.45%E -7.23%K -14.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-19 18:20
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-08-19 18:20
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-08-19 18:20
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-19 18:15
BetOpenly◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-08-19 18:19
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-08-19 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%3.3%2026-08-19 18:20
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%3.9%2026-08-19 18:20