The School of Odds
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Chicago Cubs v Chicago White Sox

2026-08-18 00:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Prediction 60.31%1.66fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.14%60.22%60.28%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6366.67%63.18%63.49%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.307%
Kelly -0.511%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%39.78%39.72%40.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.402.5044.44%41.85%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Cubs (Local): 60.31%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 39.69%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -0.767%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.70%E -1.04%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.35%E -0.957%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 18:29
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 17:53
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 17:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.30%E -1.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:24
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -0.767%E -0.307%K -0.511%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.16%E -0.467%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.16%E -0.467%K -0.781%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 17:59
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.51%E -3.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:38
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -7.51%E -3.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.51%E -2.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -7.91%E -3.41%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.98%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.75%E -1.12%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -3.15%E -1.29%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 17:55
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:44
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.53%E -2.32%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.32%E -3.39%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.93%E -2.50%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:28
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.92%E -3.80%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.74%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:25
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -7.13%E -4.63%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.71%E -3.78%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.33%E -5.48%K -16.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.54%E -6.36%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-16 17:35
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-16 17:40
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 59.63%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.37%9.6%2026-08-16 18:25
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 59.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.11%9.8%2026-08-16 19:30

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