Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs v Chicago White Sox

Início: 2026-08-18 00:06 UTC

Final: Chicago Cubs 7–5 Chicago White Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Cubs (Local)

Previsão 59.31%1.69odd justa
EV -0.958%
Vantagem -0.573%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%59.39%59.28%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.21%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 40.69%2.46odd justa
EV +0.105%
Vantagem +0.043%
Kelly +0.072%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.61%40.72%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.362.362.4645.45%42.37%42.37%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Cubs (Local): 59.31%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 40.69%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.457. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.460, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.105%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.105%E +0.043%K +0.072%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-17 08:24
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.302%E -0.123%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-17 20:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.302%E -0.123%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-17 20:05
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.302%E -0.123%K -0.208%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.302%E -0.123%K -0.208%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -0.302%E -0.123%K -0.208%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-18 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.12%E -0.459%K -0.780%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-17 20:14
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%EV -1.55%E -0.934%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-17 23:58
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 21:15
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.52%E -0.629%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-17 21:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 21:14
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 23:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 23:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 22:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:55
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.34%E -0.974%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.30%E -3.98%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 22:34
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 00:05
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.15%E -1.32%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-18 00:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.14%E -1.30%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-17 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 21:14
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.56%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.33%E -2.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 21:14
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 21:14
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 20:43
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:14
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 20:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 23:34
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 20:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.48%E -4.80%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:49
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.48%E -4.80%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-18 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.48%E -4.80%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.37%E -1.86%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 23:49
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.78%E -2.04%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:14
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.18%E -2.23%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:14
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-18 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.92%E -2.42%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 20:09
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.52%E -2.80%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-18 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.70%E -3.59%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 23:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.30%E -3.98%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.41%E -2.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 21:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -6.89%E -4.39%K -12.08%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -8.03%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-17 23:37
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 21:14
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.74%E -1.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 21:14
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 23:53
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.11%E -3.19%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.44%E -3.75%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 23:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.958%E -0.573%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.48%E -4.76%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-08-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-18 00:05
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-17 20:30
Polymarket◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-17 20:04
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-18 00:05
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-08-18 00:05
BetOpenly◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%2.2%2026-08-18 00:00
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%3.5%2026-08-18 00:05