The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 5–3 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 54.17%1.85fair odd
EV -0.865%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.10%54.22%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.68%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 45.83%2.18fair odd
EV -0.553%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.473%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.90%45.78%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1750.00%48.04%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 54.17%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 45.83%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -0.553%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.865%E -0.473%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-17 21:54
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.41%E -0.773%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-17 21:54
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.93%E -0.901%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 22:15
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.93%E -0.901%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 21:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 21:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 23:10
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 15:14
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.553%E -0.255%K -0.473%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-17 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.47%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.47%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-17 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.22%E -2.02%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 21:58
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 21:54
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.47%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:59
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:59
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 21:49
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 21:59
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 21:49
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 21:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-17 22:04
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.22%E -2.02%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 23:03
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.14%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.14%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 22:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 22:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 21:49
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:04
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:04
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:04
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:04
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 21:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 22:59
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 23:02
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.74%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 21:49
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 22:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.89%E -3.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 22:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 21:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66%0.0%2026-07-17 23:04
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%0.3%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-17 23:09
Novig◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-07-17 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-07-17 23:00
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-17 21:49
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-17 21:29
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-07-17 22:59
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%7.3%2026-07-17 22:09