La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 54.17%1.85momio equitativo
EV -0.865%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.10%54.22%55.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.68%56.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)
Predicción 45.83%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.553%
Ventaja -0.255%
Kelly -0.473%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.74%45.90%45.78%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.102.1750.00%48.04%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.865%E -0.473%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Everygame | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.41%E -0.773%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.95%E -1.08%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.93%E -0.901%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-17 22:15 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.93%E -0.901%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 21:30 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.49%E -1.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 15:14 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.553%E -0.255%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-17 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.47%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-17 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.47%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-17 22:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.03%E -1.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.22%E -2.02%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 21:58 |
| SportsBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.57%E -2.01%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-17 21:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.47%E -0.684%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -2.84%E -1.34%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.12%E -2.33%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.22%E -2.02%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 22:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-17 23:03 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.14%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.14%E -2.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 22:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.66%E -2.65%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.68%E -2.25%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 21:59 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.20%E -2.97%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-17 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.74%E -3.30%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.34%E -4.17%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.28%E -3.63%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.05%E -2.95%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-17 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.82%E -3.97%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.89%E -3.92%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-17 22:43 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.91%E -4.65%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.76%E -1.79%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.34% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.66% | 0.0% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 0.3% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 0.5% | 2026-07-17 23:09 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 21:49 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 21:29 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-07-17 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 22:09 |