The School of Odds

Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

2026-07-17 17:36 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 52.63%1.90fair odd
EV +0.003%
Edge +0.001%
Kelly +0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.59%52.63%53.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9057%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 47.37%2.11fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.480%
Kelly -0.920%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%47.41%47.37%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.991.982.0953%50%51%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.003%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.26%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 17:29
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -2.10%E -1.13%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 17:30
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.00%E -0.480%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-16 19:30
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.48%E -0.710%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-16 19:20
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.95%E -0.942%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-16 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.95%E -0.942%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-16 19:20
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 17:27
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 19:05
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 19:05
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.69%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 19:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:00
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:00
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:05
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:04
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 19:05
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.16%E -1.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 19:05
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.00%E -0.480%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-16 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 19:20
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 19:55
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 19:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 19:45
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-16 20:00
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 18:39
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 19:15
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 19:05
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -4.21%E -2.31%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -8.58%E -4.45%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 19:05
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.73%E -2.62%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-16 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 18:20
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 17:50
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 19:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 17:29
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 19:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 17:30
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 19:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 17:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.27%E -2.63%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 19:20
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 19:28
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%EV -7.37%E -4.19%K -9.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%EV -8.11%E -4.18%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-16 19:20
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -9.06%E -4.72%K -9.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-16 19:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-07-16 20:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-16 17:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%4.0%2026-07-16 19:20
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%4.9%2026-07-16 19:50
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%9.2%2026-07-16 19:45