Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 17:36 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 10–0 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -0.098%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.25%52.29%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.55%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.75%47.71%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.981.982.0653.48%50.61%50.51%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 52.30%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 47.70%. For Boston Red Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.912. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.910, with an expected value of -0.098%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.098%E -0.051%K -0.108%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-17 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.621%E -0.327%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.621%E -0.327%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 17:34
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.621%E -0.327%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-17 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.14%E -0.606%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -6.04%E -3.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-17 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.67%E -0.887%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 17:29
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-17 17:00
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.71%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-17 17:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 17:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.52%E -3.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 17:34
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.52%E -3.32%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 17:34
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:19
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:34
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.09%E -2.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 17:24
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 16:34
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 16:44
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 16:44
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 17:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 17:24
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-17 16:44
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 16:34
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -9.38%E -4.94%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.86%E -5.21%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 17:33
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-17 17:34
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-17 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.33%E -5.50%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.04%E -3.07%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.09%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-17 16:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:39
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 16:44
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 17:23
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 17:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.81%E -5.78%K -12.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 17:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 13:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-07-17 17:30
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25%0.3%2026-07-17 17:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-17 17:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-17 17:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-17 17:30
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-07-17 17:34
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-07-17 17:35
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-17 17:34
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-07-17 16:49