La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Boston Red Sox v Tampa Bay Rays
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Boston Red Sox (Local)
Predicción 52.30%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.098%
Ventaja -0.051%
Kelly -0.108%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.25%52.29%53.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.831.831.9156.50%54.55%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tampa Bay Rays (Visitante)
Predicción 47.70%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.848%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.75%47.75%47.71%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.981.982.0653.48%50.61%50.51%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.098%E -0.051%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.621%E -0.327%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.621%E -0.327%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| GTbets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.621%E -0.327%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.13%E -2.06%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -1.14%E -0.606%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -6.04%E -3.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-17 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -1.67%E -0.887%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 17:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-17 17:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-17 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.71%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-17 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.71%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.47%E -3.85%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-17 17:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 17:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.52%E -3.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.52%E -3.32%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:19 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.09%E -2.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-17 17:24 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -1.75%E -0.848%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-17 17:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-17 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 16:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| ReBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| Caesars | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 17:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 17:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 16:34 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.90%E -4.66%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -9.38%E -4.94%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.28%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.86%E -5.21%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-17 17:33 |
| Bovada | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.66%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-17 17:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-17 16:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -10.33%E -5.50%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.33%E -2.94%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.04%E -3.07%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-17 17:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.09%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-17 16:35 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 16:39 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 16:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 16:39 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-17 16:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 17:35 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 17:23 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.59%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-17 17:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -10.81%E -5.78%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.95%E -4.12%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 17:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-17 13:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25% | 0.1% | 2026-07-17 17:30 |
| Novig | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.75% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 47.25% | 0.3% | 2026-07-17 17:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-07-17 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72% | 1.7% | 2026-07-17 17:35 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-07-17 17:34 |
| BetOpenly | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |