Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners

2026-08-31 22:46 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 59.72%1.67fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.72%59.75%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6565.79%62.66%62.70%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 40.28%2.48fair odd
EV -0.921%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.28%40.25%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.4645.45%42.27%42.11%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Boston Red Sox (Local): 59.72%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 40.28%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.46, with an expected value of -0.921%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.46%E -0.882%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -1.32%E -0.540%K -0.913%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-30 18:49
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -1.46%E -0.882%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV -2.13%E -0.876%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-30 19:03
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.46%E -0.882%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.53%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-30 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.46%E -0.882%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.46%E -0.882%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-30 17:15
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.65%E -1.63%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.921%E -0.374%K -0.631%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.65%E -1.63%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-30 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.25%E -2.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.25%E -2.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.25%E -2.00%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.44%E -2.78%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 17:15
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.44%E -2.78%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.44%E -2.78%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.78%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.55%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.44%E -2.78%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.55%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 18:50
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.44%E -2.78%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.64%E -3.57%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.75%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:19
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:15
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:20
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.55%E -1.92%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 17:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.35%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 17:20
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.83%E -4.38%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.62%E -5.64%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.38%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.22%E -6.07%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-08-30 19:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-30 17:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%4.7%2026-08-30 19:10
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%10.0%2026-08-30 18:35