Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v Seattle Mariners

Início: 2026-08-31 22:46 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 9–8 Seattle Mariners

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 58.66%1.70odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -2.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.64%58.70%58.67%60.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.631.631.6864.10%61.46%61.35%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 41.34%2.42odd justa
EV +0.465%
Vantagem +0.191%
Kelly +0.325%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.95%41.30%41.33%42.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.312.302.4346.51%43.26%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 58.66%; Seattle Mariners (Visitante): 41.34%. Para Seattle Mariners (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.43, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.465%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.465%E +0.191%K +0.325%G +0.002%1.8%2026-08-31 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV +0.051%E +0.021%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-31 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -2.04%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV -0.776%E -0.323%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-31 22:44
theScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.776%E -0.323%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-31 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.19%E -0.498%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -1.46%E -0.867%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV -1.60%E -0.673%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-31 22:45
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.60%E -0.673%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-31 21:35
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.60%E -0.673%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-31 22:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -1.60%E -0.673%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-31 19:29
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.04%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.02%E -0.851%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-31 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.02%E -0.851%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-31 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.02%E -0.851%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-31 21:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.02%E -0.851%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.02%E -0.851%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:09
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%EV -2.63%E -1.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-31 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-31 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 22:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-31 21:09
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 22:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:35
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-31 21:50
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 19:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.08%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.08%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 21:50
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.08%E -1.76%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.50%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:45
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:45
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:44
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 22:44
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 19:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 19:10
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:50
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 21:49
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 21:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 22:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 19:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -5.74%E -2.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-31 21:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.74%E -2.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.74%E -2.52%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.15%E -2.71%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:09
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.15%E -2.71%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:20
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.80%E -2.32%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 22:45
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 22:38
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.98%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -8.50%E -5.45%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.74%E -4.24%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.22%E -3.70%K -6.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 22:44
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-31 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.32%E -4.63%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -11.11%E -5.17%K -9.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 22:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-31 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-08-31 22:45
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-31 18:55
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.0%2026-08-31 22:45
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-08-31 22:45
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-08-31 22:45
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-08-31 22:45
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-08-31 22:45
BetOpenly◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.40%2.8%2026-08-31 22:44