默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox v San Francisco Giants

开赛时间: 2026-08-21 23:11 UTC

最终结果: Boston Red Sox 6–4 San Francisco Giants

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

64 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Boston Red Sox (主队)

预测 61.99%1.61公平赔率
EV -0.815%
优势 -0.509%
Kelly -1.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
60.30%61.96%62.02%63.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.541.541.6067.11%64.80%64.94%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Francisco Giants (客队)

预测 38.01%2.63公平赔率
EV +0.724%
优势 +0.273%
Kelly +0.439%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
36.59%38.04%37.98%39.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.90%40.00%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Boston Red Sox (主队):61.99%;San Francisco Giants (客队):38.01%。 对于“San Francisco Giants (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.65,对应+0.724%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV +0.724%E +0.273%K +0.439%G +0.003%1.4%2026-08-21 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.416%E -0.159%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 13:43
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.416%E -0.159%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 12:49
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-21 21:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:50
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 03:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 06:04
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.815%E -0.509%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.22%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 13:44
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.22%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.60%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 03:39
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 03:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:04
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.63%E -5.12%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.40%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 22:43
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:58
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 03:20
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-20 21:55
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-08-21 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-08-21 23:09
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-08-21 23:10