Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Boston Red Sox v San Francisco Giants

Начало: 2026-08-21 23:11 UTC

Итог: Boston Red Sox 6–4 San Francisco Giants

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

64 букмекерские конторы (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Boston Red Sox (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.99%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.815%
Преимущество -0.509%
Kelly -1.36%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.30%61.96%62.02%63.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.491.541.541.6067.11%64.80%64.94%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

San Francisco Giants (Гости)

Прогноз 38.01%2.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.724%
Преимущество +0.273%
Kelly +0.439%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.59%38.04%37.98%39.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.90%40.00%37.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Boston Red Sox (Хозяева): 61.99%; San Francisco Giants (Гости): 38.01%. Для исхода «San Francisco Giants (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.63. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.724%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (64 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV +0.724%E +0.273%K +0.439%G +0.003%1.4%2026-08-21 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.416%E -0.159%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 13:43
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.416%E -0.159%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 12:49
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-21 21:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:50
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 03:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 06:04
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.815%E -0.509%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.22%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 13:44
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.22%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.60%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 03:39
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 03:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:04
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.63%E -5.12%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.40%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 22:43
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:58
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 03:20
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-20 21:55
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-08-21 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-08-21 23:09
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-08-21 23:10