Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox v San Francisco Giants

Início: 2026-08-21 23:11 UTC

Final: Boston Red Sox 6–4 San Francisco Giants

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Boston Red Sox (Local)

Previsão 61.99%1.61odd justa
EV -0.815%
Vantagem -0.509%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.30%61.96%62.02%63.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.491.541.541.6067.11%64.80%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Francisco Giants (Visitante)

Previsão 38.01%2.63odd justa
EV +0.724%
Vantagem +0.273%
Kelly +0.439%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.59%38.04%37.98%39.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.90%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Boston Red Sox (Local): 61.99%; San Francisco Giants (Visitante): 38.01%. Para San Francisco Giants (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.63. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.724%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV +0.724%E +0.273%K +0.439%G +0.003%1.4%2026-08-21 19:05
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38%EV -0.036%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.416%E -0.159%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 13:43
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.416%E -0.159%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-21 22:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-21 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 12:49
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.18%E -0.452%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-21 21:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-21 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -1.94%E -0.751%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-21 21:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-21 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 22:50
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 07:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 03:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 06:04
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.815%E -0.509%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.84%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-21 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.22%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 13:44
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.22%E -1.67%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-21 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.60%E -1.83%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 23:10
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 22:49
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 03:39
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 03:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 22:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 03:04
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 22:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:39
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 03:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.74%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-21 22:50
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.67%E -1.70%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.91%E -2.53%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:09
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.15%E -3.37%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-21 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.77%E -3.80%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -7.63%E -5.12%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.64%E -3.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -8.40%E -3.48%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 22:43
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.05%E -1.30%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.29%E -2.11%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-21 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.53%E -2.94%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.01%E -4.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 22:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-08-21 22:45
ProphetX◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-08-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-21 03:20
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-20 21:55
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.97%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.03%1.1%2026-08-21 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-08-21 23:09
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-08-21 23:10
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-08-21 23:10