Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Red Sox (Local): 65.36%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 34.64%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.452%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +0.452%E +0.156%K +0.238%G +0.001% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -0.934%E -0.326%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -0.934%E -0.326%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.28%E -0.449%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 19:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.28%E -0.449%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.67%E -0.949%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.67%E -0.949%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 19:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 15:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.19%E -5.06%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.49%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.51%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 19:08 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.70%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-23 15:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 12:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 12:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 11:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.88%E -4.08%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 02:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.74%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.57%E -3.13%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.78%E -2.13%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -6.13%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -6.13%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -6.13%E -2.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV +0.003%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -1.30%E -0.864%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.60%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 19:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.49%E -6.07%K -21.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.17%E -2.67%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.61%E -1.75%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.90%E -3.38%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 18:48 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.53%E -4.57%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -11.67%E -4.58%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 0.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 15:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55% | 1.2% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |